EMPIRICAL MODELS FOR ASSESSING SHEET SOIL EROSION BASED ON GEOINFORMATION ANALYSIS OF REMOTE SENSING DATA (A CASE STUDY OF THE ZHAMBYL REGION)

Abstract

This article focuses on the development of a methodology and the practical aspects of analysing the geography of international conflicts using a system of geopolitical indicators. The relevance of this research stems from the growing number of regional and interregional conflicts, as well as the increasing complexity of their spatial structure and the factors influencing escalation processes. A comprehensive approach to the typology of international geopolitical conflicts is proposed, based on a three-factor matrix comprising chorological (spatio-temporal), causal and political-administrative components. A key element is the identification of the cause-and-effect relationships underlying the formation of conflicts, taking into account the specific features of geographical location, political infrastructure, as well as economic and ethno-cultural prerequisites. A concept has been developed for the application of a system of geopolitical indicators as a tool for early warning and pre-emptive response to potential hotspots of tension. The research methodology is based on a synthesis of contemporary scientific approaches to conflict analysis, as well as on the integration of spatial modelling and geopolitical diagnostic methods.
The practical significance of the work lies in the possibility of applying the developed system to assess the conflict potential of specific territories, forecast the dynamics of conflict development, and formulate effective policy and management decisions. The established interconnection between political processes and the geographical context confirms the need for a comprehensive analysis of the geospatial nature of international conflicts.
The results of the study can be utilised in the context of foreign policy planning, monitoring of international security, as well as in educational and research-analytical activities.